Wuhan Three Towns II (LLWLD) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.2 for Xiamen Feilu (DWDDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 69/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
69/100
Xiamen Feilu 2-1 Wuhan Three Towns II
2026-04-25T10:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Home 1X2 | 3.10 | 32.25806451612903% | 28.2% | -4.1% |
Draw 1X2 | 2.85 | 35.08771929824561% | 31.2% | -3.9% |
Away |
Final score
2-1
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 62.6%
Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 69/100
Strongest cover
X2
71.8% probability
Risk classification
Medium
31.2% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
3 sources
24 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Wuhan Three Towns II
4/15 recent form points
Xiamen Feilu
6/15 recent form points
API-Football does not provide xG in this statistics response. This free-tier forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| 2.25 |
| 44.44444444444444% |
| 40.6% |
| -3.8% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 2.30 | 43.47826086956522% | 37.4% | -6.1% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 1.48 | 67.56756756756756% | 62.6% | -5.0% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.48 | 67.56756756756756% | 0.0% | -67.6% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.30 | 76.92307692307692% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.30 | 76.92307692307692% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
Home 1X2 | 3.10 | 32.25806451612903% | 28.2% | -4.1% |
Draw 1X2 | 2.75 | 36.36363636363637% | 31.2% | -5.2% |
Away 1X2 | 2.25 | 44.44444444444444% | 40.6% | -3.8% |
Yes BTTS | 2.05 | 48.78048780487806% | 44.7% | -4.1% |
No BTTS | 1.65 | 60.60606060606061% | 55.3% | -5.3% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.53 | 65.359477124183% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.36 | 73.52941176470587% | 0.0% | -73.5% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.30 | 76.92307692307692% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
Home 1X2 | 3.20 | 31.25% | 28.2% | -3.1% |
Draw 1X2 | 2.90 | 34.48275862068966% | 31.2% | -3.3% |
Away 1X2 | 2.20 | 45.45454545454545% | 40.6% | -4.9% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 2.62 | 38.167938931297705% | 37.4% | -0.8% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 1.44 | 69.44444444444444% | 62.6% | -6.8% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.60 | 62.5% | 0.0% | -62.5% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.30 | 76.92307692307692% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.25 | 80% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.