Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan has the stronger overall profile in the provided season stats, with a much better record away from home (16W 12D 6L) and more goals scored (62) than conceded (45). Wieczysta Kraków’s sample is very small (1 match), with a 0W 0D 1L record and a goal difference of -1 (1 scored, 2 conceded), which makes their true level harder to gauge. The match outcome probabilities lean toward Lech Poznan, with away win at 49.3% versus home win at 27.2% and a draw at 23.5%. That gap supports an away win view, but the confidence is limited (35) and the risk is high, largely because Wieczysta’s season data is based on only one game. For goals, the model suggests a moderate-to-high chance of an open game: over 2.5 goals is 54.9%, and both teams to score is 58.6%. With Lech conceding 45 across 34 matches and Wieczysta having already scored in their only match, the stats point more toward both teams contributing than a clean-sheet scenario. Overall, an away win is the most likely single result in the probabilities, but the relatively close draw rate and the small Wieczysta sample mean it’s better treated as a tentative lean rather than a firm expectation.