Widzew II vs Troszyn

Widzew II at home have a slightly stronger overall record than Troszyn, with 17 wins from 34 matches compared to Troszyn’s 17 wins from 34. Their goal difference is also a bit less favorable than Troszyn’s, but Widzew II’s recent run includes more wins (WWLWW) than Troszyn’s mixed form (DWWLL), which supports a home edge. The scoring profile points toward a relatively open game. Widzew II have scored 70 and conceded 64, while Troszyn have scored 75 and conceded 47, suggesting both sides can find chances. The probabilities reflect this with over 2.5 goals at 62.8% and both teams to score at 62.1%. For the match result, the model’s home win probability is 53.0%, with draw at 22.8% and away win at 24.2%. That makes the home win lean reasonable, but not dominant, which aligns with the high risk level given the close win rates and the fact that Troszyn’s defense (47 conceded) is comparatively solid. Overall, a Widzew II home win looks like the most likely outcome, with the main caveat being that Troszyn’s ability to keep games competitive and score means the result could swing, especially if the match becomes end-to-end.