West Ham vs Charlton

West Ham’s home start is mixed, with 1 draw and 1 loss from two matches, scoring 3 and conceding 4. They have no clean sheets so far, which suggests their defense hasn’t been fully settled, even though the goal totals are relatively close. Charlton’s away profile is harder to read from the season totals alone, but their overall record is below .500 and their goals for and against are both modest, with 44 scored and 58 conceded across 46 matches. Their recent form includes a loss followed by a win, which supports the idea that they can compete, but not dominate. The probabilities lean slightly toward a West Ham home win (40.6%) rather than a draw (27.3%) or Charlton win (32.1%), but the gap isn’t large, aligning with the high risk. Over 2.5 goals (47.3%) is only marginally more likely than not, while both teams to score (52.3%) is the most supportive angle, consistent with West Ham having conceded in their early home matches. Overall, a West Ham win is plausible but not strongly supported by the defensive cleanliness or goal control shown in the provided numbers, so confidence remains limited.