Warriors vs Eastern District prediction
1–045′
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 58/100
Home Win
Warriors (DWLWL) project at 1.9 expected goals versus 0.9 for Eastern District (LLLDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 58/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
58/100
Strongest cover
1X
90.0% probability
Risk classification
High
16.8% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
51 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Warriors
7/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.59
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Eastern District
2/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 0.91
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/2 and Over 2.5 in 0/2.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- Sep 11, 06:28 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Eastern District 0-0 Warriors
2026-04-03T09:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Warriors 1-0 Eastern District
2025-10-18T12:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | BetVictorBest price +8.9% | 9.00 | 11.1% | 10.0% | -1.1% |
| 1xBet | 8.75 | 11.4% | 10.0% | -1.4% | |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 11.8% | 10.0% | -1.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 8.40 | 11.9% | 10.0% | -1.9% | |
| Pinnacle | 7.94 | 12.6% | 10.0% | -2.6% | |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 14.3% | 10.0% | -4.3% | |
Draw 1X2 | BetVictorBest price +8.7% | 5.50 | 18.2% | 16.8% | -1.4% |
| Pinnacle | 5.21 | 19.2% | 16.8% | -2.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 5.05 | 19.8% | 16.8% | -3.0% | |
| 1xBet | 5.05 | 19.8% | 16.8% | -3.0% | |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 20.8% | 16.8% | -4.0% | |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 21.1% | 16.8% | -4.3% | |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +1.8% | 1.30 | 76.9% | 73.2% | -3.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 76.9% | 73.2% | -3.7% | |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 78.1% | 73.2% | -4.9% | |
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 78.7% | 73.2% | -5.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 79.4% | 73.2% | -6.2% | |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 80.0% | 73.2% | -6.8% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | BetVictorBest price +4.8% | 2.88 | 34.7% | 34.0% | -0.7% |
| Pinnacle | 2.79 | 35.8% | 34.0% | -1.8% | |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 36.4% | 34.0% | -2.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.66 | 37.6% | 34.0% | -3.6% | |
| 1xBet | 2.66 | 37.6% | 34.0% | -3.6% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +1.6% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 66.0% | -5.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 71.9% | 66.0% | -5.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 73.0% | 66.0% | -7.0% | |
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 73.0% | 66.0% | -7.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 73.5% | 66.0% | -7.5% | |
No BTTS | BetVictorBest price +1.2% | 2.05 | 48.8% | 45.5% | -3.3% |
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 49.0% | 45.5% | -3.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 49.8% | 45.5% | -4.3% | |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 50.0% | 45.5% | -4.5% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +1.0% | 1.70 | 58.8% | 54.5% | -4.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 54.5% | -5.0% | |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 54.5% | -5.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 59.9% | 54.5% | -5.4% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetVictorBest price +8.3% | 3.50 | 28.6% | 0.0% | -28.6% |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 30.3% | 0.0% | -30.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 31.4% | 0.0% | -31.4% | |
| 1xBet | 3.18 | 31.4% | 0.0% | -31.4% | |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 0.0% | -33.3% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +5.6% | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 89.3% | 0.0% | -89.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.10 | 90.9% | 0.0% | -90.9% | |
| 1xBet | 1.10 | 90.9% | 0.0% | -90.9% | |
| BetVictor | 1.05 | 95.2% | 0.0% | -95.2% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetVictorBest price +3.3% | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% |
| William Hill | 1.07 | 93.5% | 0.0% | -93.5% | |
| Bet365 | 1.06 | 94.3% | 0.0% | -94.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.01 | 99.0% | 0.0% | -99.0% | |
| 1xBet | 1.01 | 99.0% | 0.0% | -99.0% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 11 Sep 2026 11:30 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
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Team hubs: Warriors predictions · Eastern District predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.