VPS II vs Jaro 2
Mon, Aug 3, 03:00 PMLemonsoft Stadion
Model verdict
Medium risk
Over 2.5 Goals
VPS II (WWLWL) project at 2.5 expected goals versus 1.5 for Jaro 2 (LLLWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 76/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
76/100
Confidence
76/100
Head-to-Head
Jaro 2 2-1 VPS II
2026-05-21T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | 1xBetBest price +7.2% | 5.20 | 19.2% | 17.8% | -1.4% |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 20.0% |
Model reasoning
VPS II at home have scored 36 goals in 14 matches and conceded 28, which points to a fairly open scoring profile rather than a low-event home game. Their recent form includes multiple wins (WWLWL), suggesting they can produce goals even if they are not consistently keeping clean sheets.
Jaro 2 away have 29 goals in 14 matches but also 37 conceded, so they are capable of scoring while still allowing goals on the road. Their recent run is weaker (LLLWD), but the overall away defensive record still leaves room for VPS II to find goals.
With VPS II’s home scoring rate and Jaro 2’s tendency to concede away, the matchup aligns with the likelihood of at least three total goals. The probabilities provided support this, with over 2.5 goals at 76.9% and both teams to score at 72.5%, though Jaro 2’s recent form softness keeps the risk at a medium level rather than high certainty.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Mon, 03 Aug 2026 06:45 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
