Pre-match

Medium risk

Vittsjö W vs Norrköping W

Sun, Aug 23, 01:00 PMVittsjo

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 63/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Vittsjö W (WDWDW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1 for Norrköping W (DDLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 63/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

63/100

Confidence

63/100

Strongest cover

73.5% probability

Risk classification

Medium

26.5% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

52 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

VW win40.7%

Draw26.5%

NW win32.8%

Goals

Over 1.572.7%

Over 2.551.9%

Under 2.548.1%

Both teams to score

Yes57.1%

No42.9%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Vittsjö W

11/15 recent form points

WDWDW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.07
Shots on target: Unavailable

Norrköping W

5/15 recent form points

DDLWL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/7 and Over 2.5 in 2/7.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 23, 08:06 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Norrköping W 1-1 Vittsjö W

2026-06-24T19:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Vittsjö W 0-2 Norrköping W

2025-09-20T13:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Norrköping W 1-1 Vittsjö W

2025-03-22T15:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Norrköping W 1-1 Vittsjö W

2024-09-28T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Vittsjö W 1-2 Norrköping W

2024-05-18T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Vittsjö W 1-0 Norrköping W

2023-11-05T15:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Norrköping W 1-2 Vittsjö W

2023-05-21T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	BetfairBest price +5.5%	3.50	28.6%	26.5%	-2.1%
	BetVictor	3.40	29.4%	26.5%	-2.9%
	10Bet	3.35	29.9%	26.5%	-3.4%
	Marathonbet	3.35	29.9%	26.5%	-3.4%
	Unibet	3.20	31.3%	26.5%	-4.8%
	William Hill	3.10	32.3%	26.5%	-5.8%
Away 1X2	UnibetBest price +7.7%	2.88	34.7%	32.8%	-1.9%
	BetVictor	2.70	37.0%	32.8%	-4.2%
	Marathonbet	2.66	37.6%	32.8%	-4.8%
	Betfair	2.63	38.0%	32.8%	-5.2%
	William Hill	2.62	38.2%	32.8%	-5.4%
	10Bet	2.55	39.2%	32.8%	-6.4%
Home 1X2	10BetBest price +1.2%	2.30	43.5%	40.7%	-2.8%
	William Hill	2.30	43.5%	40.7%	-2.8%
	Betfair	2.30	43.5%	40.7%	-2.8%
	BetVictor	2.30	43.5%	40.7%	-2.8%
	Marathonbet	2.28	43.9%	40.7%	-3.2%
	Unibet	2.15	46.5%	40.7%	-5.8%
Under 2.5 Totals	BetVictorBest price +4.3%	2.00	50.0%	48.1%	-1.9%
	Marathonbet	1.96	51.0%	48.1%	-2.9%
	10Bet	1.90	52.6%	48.1%	-4.5%
	Unibet	1.81	55.2%	48.1%	-7.1%
Over 2.5 Totals	UnibetBest price +3.7%	1.82	54.9%	51.9%	-3.0%
	Marathonbet	1.74	57.5%	51.9%	-5.6%
	10Bet	1.73	57.8%	51.9%	-5.9%
	BetVictor	1.73	57.8%	51.9%	-5.9%
No BTTS	William HillBest price +4.4%	2.25	44.4%	42.9%	-1.5%
	BetVictor	2.20	45.5%	42.9%	-2.6%
	Marathonbet	2.13	46.9%	42.9%	-4.0%
	Unibet	2.04	49.0%	42.9%	-6.1%
Yes BTTS	UnibetBest price +2.8%	1.64	61.0%	57.1%	-3.9%
	BetVictor	1.60	62.5%	57.1%	-5.4%
	Marathonbet	1.59	62.9%	57.1%	-5.8%
	William Hill	1.55	64.5%	57.1%	-7.4%
Draw or Away Double Chance	10BetBest price +2.3%	1.55	64.5%	0.0%	-64.5%
	Betfair	1.53	65.4%	0.0%	-65.4%
	Unibet	1.52	65.8%	0.0%	-65.8%
	William Hill	1.50	66.7%	0.0%	-66.7%
	BetVictor	1.50	66.7%	0.0%	-66.7%
	Marathonbet	1.49	67.1%	0.0%	-67.1%
Home or Draw Double Chance	BetfairBest price +4.7%	1.44	69.4%	0.0%	-69.4%
	William Hill	1.40	71.4%	0.0%	-71.4%
	BetVictor	1.40	71.4%	0.0%	-71.4%
	10Bet	1.36	73.5%	0.0%	-73.5%
	Marathonbet	1.36	73.5%	0.0%	-73.5%
	Unibet	1.29	77.5%	0.0%	-77.5%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +3.9%	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	BetVictor	1.29	77.5%	0.0%	-77.5%
	Betfair	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Unibet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
	Marathonbet	1.23	81.3%	0.0%	-81.3%
	10Bet	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%

Model reasoning

Vittsjö W at home have been relatively balanced in results, with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, and they’ve scored 15 while conceding 15 across 14 matches. Their recent run includes two wins and three draws in the last five games (WDWDW), suggesting they can avoid defeat even if they don’t consistently dominate. Norrköping W away have struggled more for wins, with 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while conceding 22 and scoring 14 in 14 matches. Their recent form is mixed and slightly negative (DDLWL), which points to some difficulty turning matches into clean outcomes, especially defensively. The matchup profile supports both teams scoring: Vittsjö’s goals for and against are equal, and Norrköping’s conceded total is higher than their scored total. With both teams to score at 57.1% and over 2.5 goals at 51.9%, the BTTS Yes lean fits the overall scoring tendencies, though it’s not overwhelming. A draw is also a plausible result given the home side’s 26.5% draw probability and Norrköping’s relatively high number of draws away. Overall, BTTS Yes looks like the better fit, with medium risk and moderate confidence (63).

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Sun, 23 Aug 2026 12:30 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Vittsjö W predictions · Norrköping W predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.