VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC

VfL Bochum’s overall record at this stage is slightly negative in goal difference (49 scored, 47 conceded) and they’ve been inconsistent recently with form reading LWDDW. Hertha BSC’s away record is stronger on results (14W 9D 11L overall, with recent form DLLWL), and their defense looks a bit steadier with 44 conceded and 12 clean sheets. The win probabilities are close, with Bochum at 46.7% versus Hertha at 27.2% and a draw at 26.1%, which suggests Bochum has a modest edge but not a clear separation. The higher likelihood of a match outcome leaning toward goals is supported by the over 2.5 goals probability at 52.1%, and both teams to score at 55.8% indicates a fairly balanced scoring profile. Given Bochum’s relatively even scoring and conceding and Hertha’s comparable defensive output, the home win call is plausible but not strongly supported, aligning with the higher risk level and only moderate confidence (54).