VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln
AI prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence 43/100
Over 2.5 Goals
VfB Stuttgart (LDDWD) project at 2 expected goals versus 1.7 for 1. FC Köln (DLDLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 43/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
43/100
Strongest cover
12
79.5% probability
Risk classification
High
20.5% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
VfB Stuttgart
6/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- 1.25
- xGA / match
- 4.08
- Goals / match
- 2.09
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
1. FC Köln
2/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.44
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Price interpretation
Value read
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2025 season
- Odds timestamp
- No odds available
- Optional coverage
- No H2H · no odds
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Recent head-to-head data is unavailable on the current API tier.
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Thu, 03 Sep 2026 18:30 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
More predictions
Team hubs: VfB Stuttgart predictions · 1. FC Köln predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.