Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgardens IF

Djurgardens look slightly more likely to take points, with a stronger away record (8W 2D 5L) and notably fewer goals conceded (16 in 15) than Vasteras at home (29 conceded in 16). The away side’s recent form also leans positive, including two wins in their last five, while Vasteras have been more mixed with a recent run that includes a loss. The match profile supports both teams scoring. Djurgardens have scored 33 goals away, and Vasteras have conceded 29 at home, which aligns with the high both teams to score probability (61.8%). Vasteras also have a moderate clean-sheet rate at home (5 clean sheets in 16), so there is room for Djurgardens to find goals even if Vasteras can sometimes keep things tight. Over 2.5 goals is also more likely than not, with a 58.8% probability. That fits the combination of Vasteras’ lower scoring output (25 goals in 16) and Djurgardens’ stronger attacking return (33 in 15), alongside Djurgardens’ relatively stingy defense (16 conceded) that still allows for goals at both ends. With a confidence score of 64 but a high risk level, the main uncertainty is how often Vasteras manage to shut down Djurgardens. If Vasteras keep a clean sheet, the BTTS case would fail; if they concede, the goal-based outlook remains favorable.