Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin
Wed, Jul 29, 10:00 PMEstádio São Januário
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk
Home Win
Vasco DA Gama (WWLWD) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1 for Independiente Medellin (D). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 59/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
59/100
Confidence
59/100
Head-to-Head
Independiente Medellin 2-2 Vasco DA Gama
2026-07-23T00:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Vasco DA Gama vs Independiente Medellin.
Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-0
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 56.8%
Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
