Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC

Vancouver Whitecaps at home have been strong in results, with 10 wins from 16 matches and a solid goal record of 37 scored versus 16 conceded. Their recent form is mixed but positive overall (WLWLD), and they also keep games controlled at times, with 6 clean sheets. Los Angeles FC away have been less consistent in results (10W 3D 5L) but they are very effective defensively, conceding 18 in 18 matches and recording 11 clean sheets overall. Their recent run is notably strong (LWWWW), which supports the idea that they can avoid defeat even if they don’t dominate every game. The market-style probabilities point to a close match rather than a clear one-sided outcome: home win is 49.9% versus draw 24.9% and away win 25.2%. With both teams to score at 57.6% and over 2.5 goals at 54.9%, the game looks more likely to produce goals than a low-scoring stalemate, which slightly favors Vancouver’s home edge but keeps the risk medium. Overall, the home win lean fits the home record and Vancouver’s goal difference, but Los Angeles FC’s strong defensive profile and recent form reduce certainty, making a draw or away upset plausible.