Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland

Valur Reykjavik at home have a solid start in their 2025 season, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from 4 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their recent form is WWDL, suggesting they can produce results, and they’ve kept 1 clean sheet, which supports the idea they may be competitive in this matchup. FC Nordsjaelland’s away sample is smaller (2 matches), but they’ve been very efficient defensively, conceding just 1 goal and recording 1 clean sheet. They scored 6 in those 2 matches and their recent form is LW, indicating they can score, though the overall away record is only 1 win and 1 loss. The market-style probabilities provided lean slightly toward a Valur home win (47.5%) versus a draw (26.3%) and an away win (26.2%). Goals look more uncertain, with over 2.5 goals at 46.9% and both teams to score at 52.2%, which points to a fairly even chance of a tighter game or a match where both sides find the net. Given the close win/draw/away-win split and the limited away sample for Nordsjaelland, the home-win call is plausible but not strongly supported, aligning with the high-risk, lower confidence score of 36.