Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt look more likely to win away, with a 52.5% away-win probability versus 23.5% for Valerenga. The gap is supported by overall records and defensive strength: Bodo/Glimt have 12 wins in 16 matches compared with Valerenga’s 6 wins in 15, and Bodo/Glimt have conceded only 11 goals while Valerenga have conceded 27. Form also favors Bodo/Glimt. Valerenga’s recent run is WLWWL, while Bodo/Glimt are on five straight wins (WWWWW). That combination of better results recently and a stronger season-long defensive record makes the away-win lean reasonable, though not definitive given the draw probability is still 24.0%. The goal market points in the same direction. Over 2.5 goals is favored at 56.9%, and both teams to score is slightly more likely than not at 58.7%. With Bodo/Glimt scoring 41 goals and keeping 10 clean sheets, they have the ability to control games, but Valerenga’s 22 goals mean a low-scoring shutout is less certain. Overall, the medium risk reflects that while Bodo/Glimt’s profile is stronger, the match still has meaningful draw and scoring uncertainty. The most consistent read from the provided stats is Bodo/Glimt edging the result, with a moderate chance of goals on both sides.