Utah Royals W vs Portland Thorns W

Utah Royals W at home have a stronger overall record than Portland Thorns W on the road, with Utah 9W-3D-5L versus Portland’s 8W-4D-5L. Utah also has the better defensive profile in terms of clean sheets (6 vs 8 for Portland, though Portland’s is higher) and a slightly better goal difference from the season totals (Utah 26 scored, 18 conceded; Portland 27 scored, 20 conceded). In recent form, Utah’s sequence LLWWL suggests more inconsistency but a couple of wins in the middle of the run, while Portland’s DWLLD leans toward draws and losses. That combination supports a modest edge for Utah, aligning with the home win lean rather than a high-conviction result. The goal outlook is fairly balanced: both teams to score is slightly more likely than not (54.1%), and over 2.5 goals sits just above the midpoint (50.1%). With those probabilities close to even, the match could swing on finishing, so the home win case is reasonable but not strongly dominant. Overall, the home win projection fits the slight season and form advantages for Utah, with medium risk reflecting the near-even scoring expectations and Portland’s ability to avoid defeat at times.