Pre-match

Medium risk

Ural U20 vs Chertanovo U20

Fri, Jul 31, 08:00 AM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Model verdict

Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Ural U20 (WLLLL) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 1.3 for Chertanovo U20 (LLLDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 61/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

61/100

Confidence

61/100

Head-to-Head

Chertanovo U20 1-0 Ural U20

2026-03-13T11:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Chertanovo U20 2-0 Ural U20

2024-07-12T15:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Ural U20 1-1 Chertanovo U20

2024-04-12T10:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Chertanovo U20 2-2 Ural U20

2023-08-18T17:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Ural U20 2-2 Chertanovo U20

2023-05-05T10:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Chertanovo U20 2-0 Ural U20

2023-03-10T12:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

AI Reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Ural U20 vs Chertanovo U20. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Thu, 30 Jul 2026 22:12 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Ural U20

3/15 recent form points

WLLLL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.06
Shots on target: Unavailable

Chertanovo U20

1/15 recent form points

LLLDL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.31
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/8 and Over 2.5 in 3/8.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.5
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	DafabetBest price +1.8%	3.10	32.3%	29.2%	-3.1%
	Marathonbet	3.04	32.9%	29.2%	-3.7%
	1xBet	3.04	32.9%	29.2%	-3.7%
	Superbet	3.00	33.3%	29.2%	-4.1%
Home 1X2	1xBetBest price +2.5%	2.91	34.4%	32.6%	-1.8%
	Marathonbet	2.85	35.1%	32.6%	-2.5%
	Superbet	2.80	35.7%	32.6%	-3.1%
	Dafabet	2.80	35.7%	32.6%	-3.1%
Away 1X2	DafabetBest price +1.0%	2.38	42.0%	38.2%	-3.8%
	Superbet	2.37	42.2%	38.2%	-4.0%
	1xBet	2.35	42.6%	38.2%	-4.4%
	Marathonbet	2.33	42.9%	38.2%	-4.7%
Under 2.5 Totals	SuperbetBest price +0.3%	2.20	45.5%	42.0%	-3.5%
	Marathonbet	2.19	45.7%	42.0%	-3.7%
	1xBet	2.19	45.7%	42.0%	-3.7%
Over 2.5 Totals	MarathonbetBest price +0.4%	1.60	62.5%	58.0%	-4.5%
	1xBet	1.60	62.5%	58.0%	-4.5%
	Superbet	1.58	63.3%	58.0%	-5.3%
No BTTS	SuperbetBest price +1.5%	2.50	40.0%	37.4%	-2.6%
	1xBet	2.47	40.5%	37.4%	-3.1%
	Marathonbet	2.42	41.3%	37.4%	-3.9%
Yes BTTS	MarathonbetBest price	1.47	68.0%	62.6%	-5.4%
	1xBet	1.47	68.0%	62.6%	-5.4%
	Superbet	1.47	68.0%	62.6%	-5.4%
Home or Draw Double Chance	MarathonbetBest price +0.5%	1.47	68.0%	0.0%	-68.0%
	1xBet	1.47	68.0%	0.0%	-68.0%
	Superbet	1.45	69.0%	0.0%	-69.0%
Draw or Away Double Chance	SuperbetBest price +0.5%	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	Marathonbet	1.32	75.8%	0.0%	-75.8%
	1xBet	1.32	75.8%	0.0%	-75.8%
Home or Away Double Chance	SuperbetBest price +0.5%	1.29	77.5%	0.0%	-77.5%
	Marathonbet	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%
	1xBet	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%

Ural U20 vs Chertanovo U20

BTTS Yes

Head-to-Head

AI Reasoning

Recorded forecast

Market probabilities

Evidence ledger

Matchup xG signal

Value read

Model card

Odds Comparison