UNSAAC W vs Atl. Andahuaylas W

Atl. Andahuaylas W look stronger in the season profile, with a much better away record (9W 3D 2L) than UNSAAC W’s home record (1W 3D 8L). They also have a clearer goal advantage overall, scoring 19 and conceding 15 away, while UNSAAC W have scored 8 and conceded 28 at home. Recent form leans toward the away side as well. UNSAAC W’s latest run is LDLLL, suggesting they’ve struggled to turn matches into results, whereas Atl. Andahuaylas W have a steadier sequence with WLDWD, including multiple non-loss outcomes. The goal-related probabilities support an away-leaning script. Over 2.5 goals is favored (60.5%), and both teams to score is slightly more likely than not (53.0%), which fits a match where Atl. Andahuaylas W can create enough chances to win without needing a guaranteed clean sheet. Given the away win probability (66.3%) and the medium risk level, the away win is the more likely outcome, but UNSAAC W’s ability to score is limited by their low home goals (8), so the main uncertainty is how competitive they are in this specific matchup.