Universidad de Chile vs Huachipato

Universidad de Chile at home has a stronger overall record than Huachipato away, with 7W 6D 3L versus 7W 3D 6L. They also have a better defensive profile, conceding 11 goals in 16 matches compared with Huachipato’s 25 conceded, and they’ve kept 8 clean sheets versus 3. In attack, Huachipato has scored more overall (26 vs 19), but their away results and higher concession rate suggest less control in matches. Universidad de Chile’s recent form is also more favorable, showing LWDWW compared with Huachipato’s WLLDD. The market-style probabilities align with a slight edge for Universidad de Chile: home win is 56.2% versus 19.3% for Huachipato, with a draw at 24.5%. For goals, both teams to score is just above even at 50.8%, and over 2.5 goals sits at 48.4%, so a tight game is plausible rather than a clear high-scoring outcome. With confidence at 71 and risk marked medium, the home win case looks reasonable, but the relatively close goal indicators and Huachipato’s scoring total keep the result from feeling fully secure.