AI prediction
Home Win
United States U20 (W) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 0.9 for Guatemala U20 (LWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 65/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
65/100
United States U20 1-0 Guatemala U20
2024-07-30T23:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +24.4% | 48.00 | 2.1% | 2.2% | +0.1% |
| 1xBet | 48.00 | 2.1% |
This forecast was recorded on Tue, 04 Aug 2026 20:01 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Confidence 65/100
Strongest cover
1X
97.8% probability
Risk classification
Medium
7.8% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
5 sources
34 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
United States U20
3/3 recent form points
Guatemala U20
3/9 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 0/1.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| 2.2% |
| +0.1% |
| Betfair | 41.00 | 2.4% | 2.2% | -0.2% |
| Bet365 | 29.00 | 3.4% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| Dafabet | 27.00 | 3.7% | 2.2% | -1.5% |
Draw 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +18.6% | 13.00 | 7.7% | 7.8% | +0.1% |
| 1xBet | 13.00 | 7.7% | 7.8% | +0.1% |
| Betfair | 10.50 | 9.5% | 7.8% | -1.7% |
| Bet365 | 9.50 | 10.5% | 7.8% | -2.7% |
| Dafabet | 8.80 | 11.4% | 7.8% | -3.6% |
Home 1X2 | DafabetBest price +3.3% | 1.08 | 92.6% | 90.0% | -2.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.07 | 93.5% | 90.0% | -3.5% |
| Betfair | 1.04 | 96.2% | 90.0% | -6.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.02 | 98.0% | 90.0% | -8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.02 | 98.0% | 90.0% | -8.0% |
Under 2.5 Totals | BetfairBest price +3.2% | 2.60 | 38.5% | 37.2% | -1.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.2% | -2.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 40.2% | 37.2% | -3.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.49 | 40.2% | 37.2% | -3.0% |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +3.8% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 62.8% | -3.9% |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 69.4% | 62.8% | -6.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 70.4% | 62.8% | -7.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.42 | 70.4% | 62.8% | -7.6% |
Yes BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +5.1% | 4.45 | 22.5% | 23.0% | +0.5% |
| 1xBet | 4.45 | 22.5% | 23.0% | +0.5% |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23.0% | -3.3% |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +3.1% | 1.22 | 82.0% | 77.0% | -5.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.17 | 85.5% | 77.0% | -8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.16 | 86.2% | 77.0% | -9.2% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | MarathonbetBest price +10.5% | 10.50 | 9.5% | 0.0% | -9.5% |
| 1xBet | 10.50 | 9.5% | 0.0% | -9.5% |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 13.3% | 0.0% | -13.3% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1xBetBest price +0.5% | 1.05 | 95.2% | 0.0% | -95.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.04 | 96.2% | 0.0% | -96.2% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.