Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

Union Santa Fe at home has a balanced but slightly stronger profile, with 7 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses from 21 matches, plus a positive goal difference from 30 scored and 28 conceded. Their clean sheets (5) also suggest they can limit opponents, and their recent form includes two wins in the last five results (WLDLW). Central Cordoba de Santiago away has struggled more, with only 5 wins and 10 losses from 19 matches, while scoring 12 and conceding 24. Their recent form is weaker overall (DLLLW), which aligns with the lower away win probability. The market-style probabilities reflect this gap: Union Santa Fe win is 57.8% versus 17.5% for Central Cordoba, with draws still fairly plausible at 24.7%. That supports a home win lean, though not with high certainty given the draw rate. On goals, the match is closer to a coin-flip for over 2.5 (45.4%) and both teams to score (47.7%). With Union Santa Fe’s relatively solid defensive record and Central Cordoba’s low scoring output, the home win case looks more about control than a high-scoring game.