Union San Felipe vs Universidad de Chile

Universidad de Chile’s away record is slightly stronger than Union San Felipe’s home record, with more wins and a similar number of clean sheets. Both teams have conceded 7 goals in their five matches, which points to comparable defensive vulnerability rather than a clear mismatch. The goal profile supports a match where scoring is likely. Universidad de Chile has scored 12 goals in five matches, while Union San Felipe has scored 6, and both teams have allowed 7. With both teams finding the net in this kind of range, the both teams to score signal comes out strongest. Over 2.5 goals is also moderately supported, with the combined scoring rates suggesting the game could produce multiple goals even if it ends up tight. The draw probability is relatively high, so there is some risk that one team fails to score, but the BTTS Yes probability is still the leading indicator. With BTTS Yes at 58.6% and over 2.5 at 54.6%, the edge is present but not dominant, which aligns with the high risk level and only moderate confidence.