Bundesliga
Pre-match
High risk

Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Sat, Aug 29, 01:30 PM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 52/100

Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Union Berlin (LLDWW) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 1.4 for Eintracht Frankfurt (LDLLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 52/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

52/100

Confidence
52/100

Strongest cover

12

76.2% probability

Risk classification

High

23.8% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

UB win47.5%
Draw23.8%
EF win28.7%

Goals

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.7%
Under 2.537.3%

Both teams to score

Yes64.2%
No35.8%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Union Berlin

7/15 recent form points

LLDWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.29
Shots on target
Unavailable

Eintracht Frankfurt

2/15 recent form points

LDLLD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.79
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/10 and Over 2.5 in 3/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-02-06T20:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4 Union Berlin

2025-09-21T15:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Union Berlin

2025-03-09T15:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

2024-10-27T17:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 Union Berlin

2024-03-30T15:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Union Berlin 0-3 Eintracht Frankfurt

2023-11-04T15:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Union Berlin

2023-04-04T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Union Berlin 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt

2023-03-19T15:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Union Berlin

2022-10-01T15:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Union Berlin 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt

2022-04-17T17:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Union Berlin at home have scored 44 goals in 34 matches and conceded 58, with 7 clean sheets, which suggests they can struggle to keep opponents out. Their recent form includes two wins but also two losses in the last five, so scoring and defensive consistency look mixed. Eintracht Frankfurt away have scored 61 and conceded 65 across 34 matches, also with 7 clean sheets. Their recent form is more subdued, with only one win in the last five, but their overall goal output is strong enough to keep them in games. With both teams’ season scoring rates relatively solid and clean sheets limited for each side, the matchup leans toward both teams finding goals. The probabilities provided support this, with both teams to score at 64.2%, and over 2.5 goals at 62.7%, even though the exact result is less clear given the close win/draw/lose split. The confidence is moderate (52) and the risk is high, mainly because neither team shows dominant recent form, so a low-scoring or one-sided game is still plausible.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

Team hubs: Union Berlin predictions · Eintracht Frankfurt predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.