AI prediction
Away Win
Confidence 39/100
UCSA (LLLLW) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.1 for Oleksandria (D). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 39/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
39/100
UCSA 1-4 Oleksandria
2024-10-30T12:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Home 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +4.7% | 3.78 | 26.5% | 25.0% | -1.5% |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 26.7% |
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 31 Jul 2026 05:13 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Strongest cover
X2
75.0% probability
Risk classification
High
26.7% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
51 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
UCSA
3/15 recent form points
Oleksandria
1/3 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| 25.0% |
| -1.7% |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25.0% | -2.8% |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25.0% | -2.8% |
| 1xBet | 3.59 | 27.9% | 25.0% | -2.9% |
| Pinnacle | 3.34 | 29.9% | 25.0% | -4.9% |
Draw 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +4.3% | 3.46 | 28.9% | 26.7% | -2.2% |
| Pinnacle | 3.44 | 29.1% | 26.7% | -2.4% |
| 1xBet | 3.35 | 29.9% | 26.7% | -3.2% |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26.7% | -3.6% |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 30.8% | 26.7% | -4.1% |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 32.3% | 26.7% | -5.6% |
Away 1X2 | 1xBetBest price +2.1% | 1.91 | 52.4% | 48.3% | -4.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.3% | -4.3% |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.3% | -4.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 53.5% | 48.3% | -5.2% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.3% | -5.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 55.9% | 48.3% | -7.6% |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +1.8% | 2.08 | 48.1% | 45.4% | -2.7% |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 48.5% | 45.4% | -3.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 49.0% | 45.4% | -3.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 49.0% | 45.4% | -3.6% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 45.4% | -4.6% |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +1.9% | 1.73 | 57.8% | 54.6% | -3.2% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 57.8% | 54.6% | -3.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 54.6% | -4.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 54.6% | -4.9% |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 59.9% | 54.6% | -5.3% |
Yes BTTS | 1xBetBest price +0.9% | 1.88 | 53.2% | 49.5% | -3.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 53.5% | 49.5% | -4.0% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 54.1% | 49.5% | -4.6% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 49.5% | -4.6% |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +1.9% | 1.85 | 54.1% | 50.5% | -3.6% |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.5% | -4.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 55.2% | 50.5% | -4.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 56.5% | 50.5% | -6.0% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +1.7% | 1.83 | 54.6% | 0.0% | -54.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 55.2% | 0.0% | -55.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 55.2% | 0.0% | -55.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 0.0% | -55.6% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 0.0% | -57.1% |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.5% | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 77.5% | 0.0% | -77.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.1% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.