UCSA (LLLLW) project at 1.2 expected goals versus 1 for Nyva Ternopil (WLWDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 55/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
55/100
UCSA 3-0 Nyva Ternopil
2026-06-01T12:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Nyva Ternopil 1-4 UCSA
2025-11-09T13:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | DafabetBest price +4.0% | 3.25 | 30.8% | 29.1% |
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 07 Aug 2026 01:24 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 55/100
Strongest cover
12
70.9% probability
Risk classification
High
29.1% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
2 sources
10 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
UCSA
3/15 recent form points
Nyva Ternopil
7/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/2 and Over 2.5 in 2/2.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| -1.7% |
| 1xBet | 3.00 | 33.3% | 29.1% | -4.2% |
Away 1X2 | 1xBetBest price +1.8% | 3.06 | 32.7% | 30.2% | -2.5% |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 33.9% | 30.2% | -3.7% |
Home 1X2 | DafabetBest price +0.9% | 2.31 | 43.3% | 40.7% | -2.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 44.1% | 40.7% | -3.4% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 1xBet | 2.35 | 42.6% | 40.0% | -2.6% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 1xBet | 1.57 | 63.7% | 60.0% | -3.7% |
Yes BTTS | 1xBet | 2.06 | 48.5% | 46.0% | -2.5% |
No BTTS | 1xBet | 1.76 | 56.8% | 54.0% | -2.8% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.