Liga MX
Finished
Medium risk

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro result & prediction review

0–0Full time
Sun, Aug 16, 06:00 PMEstadio Olimpico Universitario

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 59/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

Under 2.5 Goals

U.N.A.M. - Pumas (DLWLD) project at 1 expected goals versus 1.1 for Club Queretaro (DLWWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 59/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

59/100

Confidence
59/100

Strongest cover

X2

69.5% probability

Risk classification

Medium

30.8% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

U-P win30.5%
Draw30.8%
CQ win38.7%

Goals

Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.534%
Under 2.566%

Both teams to score

Yes42.1%
No57.9%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

5/15 recent form points

DLWLD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.33
Shots on target
Unavailable

Club Queretaro

8/15 recent form points

DLWWD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.38
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/10 and Over 2.5 in 3/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-0 Club Queretaro

2026-08-16T20:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1 Club Queretaro

2026-01-11T19:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Club Queretaro 0-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

2025-07-26T03:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Club Queretaro 3-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

2025-01-20T00:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-0 Club Queretaro

2024-11-06T04:05:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Club Queretaro 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

2024-04-27T05:10:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-0 Club Queretaro

2023-10-05T03:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-1 Club Queretaro

2023-08-04T02:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Club Queretaro 1-0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas

2023-04-03T03:05:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-1 Club Queretaro

2022-09-08T04:05:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-0

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 53.4% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.1666 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sat, 15 Aug 2026 09:30 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: U.N.A.M. - Pumas predictions · Club Queretaro predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.