Turku PS vs Mariehamn

Turku PS at home have a balanced but slightly positive record, with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, and they’ve scored 20 while conceding 20 across 17 matches. Their recent form is mixed (WLWLL), but they’ve managed some clean sheets, with 5 shutouts in total. Mariehamn away have struggled more clearly, with 0 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses. They’ve scored only 9 goals and conceded 36, and they have no clean sheets, which suggests they’re finding it difficult to keep games tight on the road. The home win outcome is supported by the gap in defensive performance and overall results, with Turku PS also carrying a higher scoring output than Mariehamn. The draw remains plausible given Turku’s modest home record and Mariehamn’s ability to pick up some draws, reflected in the 20.1% draw probability. For goals, the match is close to a coin flip for over 2.5 goals (50.3%), while both teams to score is slightly under even (47.4%). That combination fits a scenario where Turku PS may edge the result, but not necessarily in a high-scoring, one-sided way.