Tukums II vs JDFS Alberts

JDFS Alberts look stronger in the season profile, with 7 wins from 14 away matches compared to Tukums II’s 3 wins from 14 at home. Alberts also have a better goal balance, scoring 29 and conceding 22 away, while Tukums II score 18 and concede 40 at home, suggesting Tukums II are more vulnerable defensively. The recent form supports that direction as well. Tukums II’s latest run is LLLWL, which includes three straight losses and only one win in their last five. JDFS Alberts’ recent form is DWLWD, showing more consistency and fewer heavy setbacks. The goal-related probabilities point to a match where Alberts can get the edge without needing a low-scoring script. Over 2.5 goals is projected at 72.8%, and both teams to score is at 62.2%, which aligns with Tukums II conceding 40 goals at home and Alberts still scoring regularly away. With away win at 70.7% and confidenceScore 72, an away win is the lean, but the draw probability (16.4%) keeps the risk at a medium level, especially since Tukums II have shown they can still find a win occasionally in their recent form.