Premier League
Pre-match
Medium risk

Tsirang vs Bhutan U19

Tue, Aug 18, 09:00 AM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 59/100

Model verdict
Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Tsirang (LDLLD) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 1.4 for Bhutan U19 (LDDLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 59/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

59/100

Confidence
59/100

Strongest cover

12

75.1% probability

Risk classification

Medium

24.9% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

T win41.7%
Draw24.9%
BU win33.4%

Goals

Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%

Both teams to score

Yes62.3%
No37.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Tsirang

2/15 recent form points

LDLLD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.42
Shots on target
Unavailable

Bhutan U19

5/15 recent form points

LDDLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.58
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
No H2H · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Recent head-to-head data is unavailable on the current API tier.

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Tsirang at home have a slightly negative goal profile with 17 scored and 21 conceded across 12 matches, and they’ve kept 3 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed to poor (LDLLD), which suggests they may struggle to control games consistently, even if they can still compete. Bhutan U19 away have scored 19 and conceded 24 in 12 matches, also with 3 clean sheets. Their recent form (LDDLW) includes a win but also multiple low-output results, and the overall concession rate indicates they are not shutting teams out regularly on the road. With both sides having similar clean-sheet counts and both conceding more than they keep, the matchup leans toward goals at both ends. The probabilities support this, with both teams to score at 62.3% and over 2.5 goals at 59.9%, so BTTS Yes fits the statistical pattern, though it’s not overwhelmingly dominant. The draw and away-win chances are fairly close (24.9% draw, 33.4% away win), which adds some uncertainty to exact outcomes. That’s why the confidence is moderate (59) and the risk is medium rather than high conviction.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Mon, 17 Aug 2026 19:09 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: Tsirang predictions · Bhutan U19 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.