TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys

TransINVEST Vilnius look slightly stronger overall, with a better record at home (12W 5D 7L) than Panevėžys have on the road (6W 5D 11L). Vilnius also have the edge in goal difference, scoring 40 and conceding 29, while Panevėžys score 21 and concede 39 away, which supports the home win lean. The recent form also tilts toward Vilnius. Their last five results are DLLWW, showing a rebound with two wins, while Panevėžys’ recent run is WLDLD, which includes fewer wins and more draws, making them less likely to swing the match in their favor. In terms of scoring, the match profile suggests moderate goal likelihood. Over 2.5 goals is at 55.2%, and both teams to score is 53.7%, which aligns with Vilnius having a stronger attack and Panevėžys conceding more, but not overwhelmingly so. With home win probability at 62.6% and a medium risk level, the home win is the most plausible outcome, though the draw probability (21.6%) and Panevėžys’ ability to avoid losses in some recent matches keep it from being a clear-cut call.