Tobol 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy

Shakhter Karagandy look much stronger in the season stats, especially defensively. They have conceded only 6 goals in 15 away matches and recorded 12 clean sheets, while Tobol 2 have 0 clean sheets and a negative goal difference overall with 24 scored and 43 conceded. The recent form also points toward Shakhter Karagandy maintaining control. Tobol 2’s latest run is LDLLL, suggesting difficulty turning matches into results, whereas Shakhter Karagandy’s away form is W W W W W, indicating consistent performance. This combination aligns with the probabilities provided: Shakhter Karagandy to win is 71.2% versus Tobol 2 at 12.0%, with a draw at 16.8%. The goal outlook supports that as well, with over 2.5 goals at 65.3% and both teams to score at 59.1%, suggesting a likely but not guaranteed scoring pattern. Overall, the away win call fits the gap in defensive solidity and recent momentum, but the medium risk reflects that Tobol 2 can still score (24 goals) and the draw remains plausible at 16.8%.