Tigres FC (LL) project at 1 expected goals versus 1.7 for Atletico Nacional (WWDDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 37/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
37/100
Atletico Nacional 2-0 Tigres FC
2026-07-21T23:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Tigres FC 1-0 Atletico Nacional
2017-11-13T01:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Atletico Nacional 0-0 Tigres FC
2017-05-12T03:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 01:10 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Away Win
Confidence 37/100
Strongest cover
X2
83.8% probability
Risk classification
High
21.6% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Tigres FC
0/6 recent form points
Atletico Nacional
11/15 recent form points
API-Football does not provide xG in this statistics response. This free-tier forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/3 and Over 2.5 in 0/3.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.