Tigre vs River Plate

Tigre at home have been relatively tight defensively, conceding 17 in 19 matches and keeping 5 clean sheets. Their scoring output is modest with 21 goals, and their recent form includes a mix of results (LDLWD), which suggests they are not consistently producing high-scoring games. River Plate’s away record is mixed, with 12 wins but also 9 losses, and they have scored 30 while conceding 20 across 23 matches. They have 9 clean sheets, but their recent form (WLLLL) points to inconsistency in creating and converting chances in the short term. With Tigre’s lower scoring profile and both teams showing defensive capability through clean sheets, the matchup leans toward fewer goals. The probabilities also align with that direction, with under 2.5 goals supported by over 2.5 goals sitting at 38.9%, and both teams to score at 45.9% indicating it’s not a clear “yes” for goals at both ends. Given the away team’s ability to win and score, there is still some upside for a higher-scoring outcome, which is why the risk is medium rather than low.