Tacuary (WDDDL) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.2 for Guairena FC (WLLDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 68/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
68/100
Guairena FC 2-0 Tacuary
2026-04-18T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Tacuary 0-1 Guairena FC
2025-08-29T20:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Guairena FC 1-0 Tacuary
2025-05-27T00:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Tacuary 1-3 Guairena FC
2023-10-19T01:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Guairena FC 1-2 Tacuary
2023-07-30T22:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Guairena FC 0-1 Tacuary
2023-04-15T23:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
This forecast was recorded on Mon, 10 Aug 2026 18:18 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 68/100
Strongest cover
12
70.8% probability
Risk classification
Medium
29.2% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
54 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Tacuary
6/15 recent form points
Guairena FC
5/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/10 and Over 2.5 in 3/10.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Tacuary 1-2 Guairena FC
2023-02-03T22:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Guairena FC 1-0 Tacuary
2022-09-19T00:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Tacuary 0-0 Guairena FC
2022-07-16T01:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Guairena FC 0-0 Tacuary
2022-06-24T01:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | 10BetBest price +3.6% | 3.10 | 32.3% | 29.2% | -3.1% |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 29.2% | -3.1% | |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 32.3% | 29.2% | -3.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.96 | 33.8% | 29.2% | -4.6% | |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 34.5% | 29.2% | -5.3% | |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 35.7% | 29.2% | -6.5% | |
Away 1X2 | William HillBest price +2.7% | 2.80 | 35.7% | 32.4% | -3.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 35.7% | 32.4% | -3.3% | |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 35.7% | 32.4% | -3.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.76 | 36.2% | 32.4% | -3.8% | |
| 10Bet | 2.70 | 37.0% | 32.4% | -4.6% | |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 40.0% | 32.4% | -7.6% | |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +4.9% | 2.45 | 40.8% | 38.4% | -2.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.42 | 41.3% | 38.4% | -2.9% | |
| 10Bet | 2.35 | 42.6% | 38.4% | -4.2% | |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 43.5% | 38.4% | -5.1% | |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 38.4% | -6.0% | |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 44.4% | 38.4% | -6.0% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +5.4% | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.5% | -2.0% |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.5% | -3.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 48.1% | 44.5% | -3.6% | |
| 10Bet | 2.00 | 50.0% | 44.5% | -5.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 53.5% | 44.5% | -9.0% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +2.8% | 1.67 | 59.9% | 55.5% | -4.4% |
| 10Bet | 1.65 | 60.6% | 55.5% | -5.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 60.6% | 55.5% | -5.1% | |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 60.6% | 55.5% | -5.1% | |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 66.7% | 55.5% | -11.2% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +3.2% | 1.85 | 54.1% | 50.3% | -3.8% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 50.3% | -3.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 55.6% | 50.3% | -5.3% | |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 59.9% | 50.3% | -9.6% | |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +2.6% | 1.85 | 54.1% | 49.7% | -4.4% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 49.7% | -4.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 54.3% | 49.7% | -4.6% | |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 59.9% | 49.7% | -10.2% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +2.7% | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% | |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +5.3% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.34 | 74.6% | 0.0% | -74.6% | |
| 10Bet | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% | |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% | |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +6.5% | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% | |
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.