SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel

Darmstadt at home have a slightly stronger overall record than Kiel away, with 13 wins at home versus Kiel’s 11 wins on the road. Darmstadt also have the better goal difference profile across the season, scoring 57 and conceding 45 compared with Kiel’s 44 scored and 48 conceded, which supports a modest edge for Darmstadt in a home win scenario. Recent form is mixed for both sides, but Darmstadt’s sequence LDLDL suggests they are not consistently winning, while Kiel’s WWWLL includes two recent losses that could limit their momentum. That combination keeps the home-win lean, even if it’s not dominant. The goal outlook points to a fairly open game. Darmstadt’s season scoring and Kiel’s conceded totals align with the over 2.5 goals probability (54.3%), and the both teams to score likelihood is also relatively high (56.9%), suggesting chances for both teams rather than a low-scoring, one-sided match. With home win at 50.0% versus draw 25.1% and away win 24.9%, the home side is the most likely single outcome, but the confidence is only moderate (56) and the risk is high because the recent form and the close goal expectations leave room for a draw or an away upset.