Sudtirol vs Virtus Verona

Sudtirol at home has a mixed but more competitive start, with 3 goals scored and 4 conceded across 2 matches, and they’ve managed a draw in their record. Virtus Verona away has been struggling more clearly, scoring 0 goals in 3 matches while conceding 14, which points to limited attacking output and defensive vulnerability on the road. The overall win probabilities lean toward Sudtirol, with home win at 72.8% versus 9.5% for Virtus Verona, while the draw is still plausible at 17.7%. The confidence is only moderate (50) and the risk is high, largely because these are very small sample sizes and Sudtirol’s results include a loss as well. On goals, the match profile suggests a decent chance of over 2.5 total goals (57.8%), supported by Virtus Verona conceding heavily. Both teams to score is less certain (46.4%), since Virtus Verona have not scored yet in their away matches, even though Sudtirol have conceded 4 in two games. So a Sudtirol home win is the most likely outcome among the provided options, but it’s not a lock given the limited data and the fact that Virtus Verona’s scoring record is extremely low.