Strasbourg vs SV Elversberg
2–5Full timeTue, Aug 4, 04:00 PM
AI prediction
Away Win
Confidence 38/100
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
Away Win
Strasbourg (WLD) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.5 for SV Elversberg (WWDLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 38/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
38/100
Confidence
38/100
Head-to-Head
Recent head-to-head data is unavailable on the current API tier.
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
SV Elversberg’s away profile looks stronger than Strasbourg’s home results. Elversberg have 4 wins in 7 away matches with 19 goals scored and 13 conceded, while Strasbourg at home have 1 win in 3 matches with 3 goals for and 4 against.
The draw is still plausible, since Strasbourg’s home sample includes a draw and their recent form is mixed (WLD). However, Elversberg’s recent away form is more favorable overall (WWDLW), which supports the away win lean.
On goals, the matchup points toward a fairly open game. Elversberg’s scoring rate is relatively high for their conceded total, and the combined indicators suggest over 2.5 goals is more likely than not (54.0%), with both teams to score also favored (58.1%).
With away win at 43.1% and confidenceScore at 38 with high risk, the away win case is reasonable but not strongly secure, so it’s better viewed as a moderate edge rather than a firm outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
2-5
Pre-kickoff call
Away Win · 43.1% → Won
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.