Stabæk U19 vs Fredrikstad FK U19
2–4Full timeThu, Aug 6, 01:00 PM
AI prediction
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk
Home Win
Stabæk U19 (WLWWL) project at 2.2 expected goals versus 1.3 for Fredrikstad FK U19 (WLDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 71/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
71/100
Confidence
71/100
Head-to-Head
Fredrikstad FK U19 2-1 Stabæk U19
2026-07-29T15:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Stabæk U19 look slightly stronger at home, with a 4W 1D 2L record and a clear goal advantage of 25 scored versus 11 conceded across 7 matches. Their recent form is mixed but includes two wins in their last five games (WLWWL), and they have managed one clean sheet this season.
Fredrikstad FK U19 have been more balanced away, going 4W 2D 2L with 13 goals scored and 14 conceded. Their recent run is also mixed, with two draws and two wins in their last five (WLDWW), and they’ve kept two clean sheets overall, which helps limit Stabæk’s scoring chances.
The matchup leans toward a Stabæk win rather than a draw, with the home side rated at 60.1% versus 20.6% for a draw and 19.3% for an away win. It also points to goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66.7% and both teams to score at 64.3%, suggesting Fredrikstad can likely contribute offensively even if they don’t dominate.
Overall, the home win call has medium risk, consistent with both teams’ ability to score and the relatively close away record Fredrikstad have shown.
Recorded forecast
Final score
2-4
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 60.1% → Lost
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.