St George Willawong vs Brisbane Strikers
0–189′Sun, Aug 2, 06:30 AMWillawong
Model verdict
Medium risk
Away Win
St George Willawong (LWWLW) project at 0.9 expected goals versus 1.9 for Brisbane Strikers (WWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 73/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
73/100
Confidence
73/100
Head-to-Head
Brisbane Strikers 2-0 St George Willawong
2026-04-24T12:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Brisbane Strikers 1-0 St George Willawong
2024-08-18T09:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
St George Willawong 3-2 Brisbane Strikers
2024-05-19T08:45:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Brisbane Strikers look more likely to win away, with their record reading 15W 3D 1L compared to St George Willawong’s 4W 1D 14L at home. The goal profile also favors Brisbane, with 46 scored and 15 conceded versus St George Willawong’s 11 scored and 41 conceded.
Recent form supports that direction as well. St George Willawong’s last five results are LWWLW, while Brisbane Strikers are on a run of WWWWW, suggesting stronger momentum heading into the match.
The market-style probabilities align with a relatively balanced but slightly Brisbane-leaning game: away win is 65.7% versus home win at 13.7%, and the draw sits at 20.6%. For goals, over 2.5 is 53.9% and both teams to score is 51.6%, so a tight or low-to-mid scoring outcome is plausible even if Brisbane are favored.
With a confidence score of 73 and a medium risk level, the away win case is the strongest signal in the provided stats, but the close-to-even scoring indicators mean it’s not a lock.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Sun, 02 Aug 2026 05:35 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
