Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo look slightly more likely to get on the scoresheet and to win the match, with 41.4% away win versus 33.2% home win and a 61.4% probability for both teams to score. Sporting Kansas City have struggled defensively at home this season, conceding 44 goals in 17 matches and keeping zero clean sheets, which supports the idea that Houston can find goals. Sporting Kansas City’s scoring output is modest, with 18 goals in 17 matches, but their recent form includes scoring in several of their last five results (WLLWL). Combined with Houston’s relatively solid defensive record away from home (24 conceded in 16 matches and five clean sheets overall), the matchup profile still points toward goals at both ends rather than a shutout. The overall goal expectation is moderate, with 58.3% for over 2.5 goals, aligning with the BTTS Yes lean. With a medium risk level and a 69 confidence score, this is a reasonable bet, though the home team’s poor record and low clean-sheet rate also mean the game could swing toward a one-sided scoreline.