Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

Feyenoord look slightly more likely to win away, with a stronger overall record than Sparta Rotterdam (19W 8D 7L vs 12W 7D 15L). Feyenoord also have the better goal profile, scoring 70 and conceding 44 compared with Sparta’s 40 scored and 62 conceded, which supports the away-win lean. The recent form is mixed for both sides, but Feyenoord’s sequence includes more wins overall (DWWDW) than Sparta’s (LLDLL). That combination of better season performance and relatively stronger recent results helps explain the higher away-win probability. The match also points toward goals. Over 2.5 goals is favored at 58.7%, and both teams to score is even more likely at 60.9%, aligning with Sparta’s higher concession rate and Feyenoord’s ability to score consistently. With confidence around 52 and a high risk level, the draw remains plausible (24.2%), so the away win case is more of a lean than a clear edge.