Sogdiana (LWLLW) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.5 for Andijan (WLDWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 65/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
65/100
Andijan 4-0 Sogdiana
2026-02-27T14:45:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Andijan 2-2 Sogdiana
2025-09-21T14:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Sogdiana 1-0 Andijan
2025-04-26T17:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Sogdiana 1-1 Andijan
2024-09-20T16:15:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Andijan 0-1 Sogdiana
2024-05-04T15:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Sogdiana 1-2 Andijan
2023-10-21T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
This forecast was recorded on Thu, 06 Aug 2026 03:17 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 65/100
Strongest cover
12
72.9% probability
Risk classification
High
27.1% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
54 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Sogdiana
6/15 recent form points
Andijan
8/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Andijan 1-2 Sogdiana
2023-05-05T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Andijan 1-1 Sogdiana
2022-04-14T13:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Andijan 0-0 Sogdiana
2021-10-02T12:45:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Sogdiana 4-1 Andijan
2021-05-11T15:55:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +2.0% | 3.32 | 30.1% | 27.1% | -3.0% |
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 30.3% | 27.1% | -3.2% | |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 30.3% | 27.1% | -3.2% | |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 30.3% | 27.1% | -3.2% | |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 31.3% | 27.1% | -4.1% | |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 32.3% | 27.1% | -5.2% | |
Away 1X2 | Bet365Best price +1.8% | 2.60 | 38.5% | 35.4% | -3.1% |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 38.5% | 35.4% | -3.1% | |
| 10Bet | 2.55 | 39.2% | 35.4% | -3.8% | |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 39.2% | 35.4% | -3.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.52 | 39.7% | 35.4% | -4.3% | |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 40.0% | 35.4% | -4.6% | |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +1.4% | 2.45 | 40.8% | 37.5% | -3.3% |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 40.8% | 37.5% | -3.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.41 | 41.5% | 37.5% | -4.0% | |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 41.7% | 37.5% | -4.2% | |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 41.7% | 37.5% | -4.2% | |
| 10Bet | 2.38 | 42.0% | 37.5% | -4.5% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price +1.8% | 1.91 | 52.4% | 48.8% | -3.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.8% | -3.8% | |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 53.5% | 48.8% | -4.7% | |
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.8% | -5.3% | |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.8% | -5.3% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.6% | 1.90 | 52.6% | 51.2% | -1.4% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 51.2% | -2.9% | |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.2% | -4.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 56.2% | 51.2% | -5.0% | |
| 10Bet | 1.75 | 57.1% | 51.2% | -5.9% | |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +2.0% | 2.15 | 46.5% | 43.5% | -3.0% |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 47.6% | 43.5% | -4.1% | |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 47.6% | 43.5% | -4.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 48.1% | 43.5% | -4.6% | |
Yes BTTS | BetfairBest price +1.8% | 1.67 | 59.9% | 56.5% | -3.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 60.6% | 56.5% | -4.1% | |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 61.7% | 56.5% | -5.2% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 61.7% | 56.5% | -5.2% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +2.4% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.4% | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| BetVictor | 1.42 | 70.4% | 0.0% | -70.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
| 10Bet | 1.38 | 72.5% | 0.0% | -72.5% | |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.9% | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 77.5% | 0.0% | -77.5% | |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% | |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 80.6% | 0.0% | -80.6% | |
| 10Bet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.