3. liga - CFL B
Pre-match
High risk

Slovan Liberec II vs Pardubice II prediction

Fri, Sep 11, 09:00 AM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 45/100

Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Slovan Liberec II (WWLWL) project at 2.2 expected goals versus 1.7 for Pardubice II (DWLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 45/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

45/100

Confidence
45/100

Strongest cover

12

77.3% probability

Risk classification

High

22.7% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

5 sources

39 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

SLI win30.4%
Draw22.7%
PI win46.9%

Goals

Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.567.8%
Under 2.532.2%

Both teams to score

Yes68.7%
No31.3%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Slovan Liberec II

9/15 recent form points

WWLWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.25
Shots on target
Unavailable

Pardubice II

7/15 recent form points

DWLLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.16
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 7/9 and Over 2.5 in 6/9.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC
Optional coverage
H2H available · odds available
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Slovan Liberec II 5-2 Pardubice II

2026-05-31T10:15:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Pardubice II 1-1 Slovan Liberec II

2025-11-02T10:15:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Slovan Liberec II 2-4 Pardubice II

2025-04-19T10:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Pardubice II 2-0 Slovan Liberec II

2024-09-21T10:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Slovan Liberec II 2-3 Pardubice II

2024-08-03T10:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Pardubice II 2-1 Slovan Liberec II

2024-03-31T10:15:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Slovan Liberec II 1-1 Pardubice II

2023-09-03T10:15:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Pardubice II 3-1 Slovan Liberec II

2022-05-22T10:15:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Slovan Liberec II 4-0 Pardubice II

2021-10-10T10:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

MarketBookmakerOddsImpliedAIGap
Draw
1X2
Bet365Best price +4.1%4.0025.0%22.7%-2.3%
Pinnacle3.9125.6%22.7%-2.9%
Marathonbet3.8526.0%22.7%-3.3%
1xBet3.8526.0%22.7%-3.3%
William Hill3.6027.8%22.7%-5.1%
Home
1X2
1xBetBest price +3.6%3.1431.8%30.4%-1.4%
Pinnacle3.1331.9%30.4%-1.5%
William Hill3.1032.3%30.4%-1.9%
Marathonbet3.0832.5%30.4%-2.1%
Bet3652.7037.0%30.4%-6.6%
Away
1X2
Bet365Best price +6.3%2.0548.8%46.9%-1.9%
William Hill1.9152.4%46.9%-5.5%
1xBet1.9152.4%46.9%-5.5%
Marathonbet1.8952.9%46.9%-6.0%
Pinnacle1.8853.2%46.9%-6.3%
Under 2.5
Totals
MarathonbetBest price +1.0%2.8335.3%32.2%-3.1%
1xBet2.8335.3%32.2%-3.1%
Bet3652.7536.4%32.2%-4.2%
Over 2.5
Totals
Bet365Best price +3.4%1.4071.4%67.8%-3.6%
Marathonbet1.3375.2%67.8%-7.4%
1xBet1.3375.2%67.8%-7.4%
No
BTTS
1xBetBest price +1.4%2.9434.0%31.3%-2.7%
William Hill2.9034.5%31.3%-3.2%
Marathonbet2.8635.0%31.3%-3.7%
Yes
BTTS
William HillBest price +1.0%1.3574.1%68.7%-5.4%
Marathonbet1.3375.2%68.7%-6.5%
1xBet1.3375.2%68.7%-6.5%
Home or Draw
Double Chance
William HillBest price +2.8%1.7557.1%0.0%-57.1%
Marathonbet1.7258.1%0.0%-58.1%
1xBet1.7258.1%0.0%-58.1%
Bet3651.6261.7%0.0%-61.7%
Draw or Away
Double Chance
Bet365Best price +4.6%1.3673.5%0.0%-73.5%
William Hill1.3076.9%0.0%-76.9%
Marathonbet1.2778.7%0.0%-78.7%
1xBet1.2778.7%0.0%-78.7%
Home or Away
Double Chance
William HillBest price +5.0%1.2580.0%0.0%-80.0%
Bet3651.1785.5%0.0%-85.5%
Marathonbet1.1785.5%0.0%-85.5%
1xBet1.1785.5%0.0%-85.5%

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Slovan Liberec II vs Pardubice II. Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 11 Sep 2026 02:01 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: Slovan Liberec II predictions · Pardubice II predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.