Slonim vs Minsk II
2–3Full timeThu, Aug 6, 03:30 PMYunost Stadium
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk
BTTS Yes
Slonim (LDWLL) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 1.2 for Minsk II (LWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 63/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
63/100
Confidence
63/100
Head-to-Head
Slonim 2-3 Minsk II
2026-08-06T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Minsk II 0-2 Slonim
2026-04-06T17:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Slonim 1-2 Minsk II
2025-08-30T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Minsk II 0-2 Slonim
2025-04-26T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Minsk II 2-0 Slonim
2014-08-30T14:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Slonim 0-3 Minsk II
2014-05-04T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Model reasoning
Slonim at home have scored 33 in 18 matches and conceded 23, with 5 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed (LDWLL), but overall they still show a fairly steady ability to find goals at home.
Minsk II away have scored 24 and conceded 34 across 18 matches, with only 3 clean sheets. Their recent run is stronger (LWWWW), which supports the idea that they can score even if results have been inconsistent.
With Slonim’s home scoring and Minsk II’s tendency to concede on the road, both teams to score looks plausible, aligning with the 60.1% probability. The over 2.5 goals chance is also relatively high at 59.0%, suggesting a match where scoring from both sides is more likely than a low-scoring stalemate.
The home win and away win probabilities are close (48.7% vs 27.0%), with draws at 24.3%, so the match outcome is less certain. That uncertainty fits a BTTS Yes angle rather than a single-side result.
Recorded forecast
Final score
2-3
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 53.5% → Lost
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
