Skanste vs Mārupe

Mārupe’s season record is stronger than Skanste’s, with more wins and fewer goals conceded (20 vs 29). That gives Mārupe a slight edge in match outcome, reflected in the away win probability (38.2%) being close to the home win (36.9%) and with a draw still fairly plausible (24.9%). The BTTS Yes lean is supported by both teams’ scoring and defensive profiles. Skanste have scored 21 in 14 matches and conceded 29, while Mārupe have scored 24 and conceded 20, which suggests goals are likely at both ends rather than a clean-sheet-heavy game. Over 2.5 goals is also more likely than not (63.0%), aligning with the combined scoring and concession numbers. With both teams to score at 65.6%, the matchup profile points toward at least one goal from each side, though the relatively high risk level indicates the result could still swing toward a one-sided scoring pattern. Overall, the most consistent signal from the provided stats is BTTS Yes, with moderate confidence (65) and higher variance given Skanste’s recent form trend (WLLLL) compared with Mārupe’s steadier recent results (LLWLW).