Šiauliai (LLLLL) project at 1 expected goals versus 1.5 for Banga (WWWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 72/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
72/100
Banga 1-1 Šiauliai
2026-05-30T14:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Šiauliai 0-0 Banga
2026-04-04T15:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Šiauliai 1-4 Banga
2026-01-23T12:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Šiauliai 1-3 Banga
2025-10-22T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Banga 1-0 Šiauliai
2025-08-04T18:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Banga 0-1 Šiauliai
2025-05-27T17:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Final score
1-3
Pre-kickoff call
Away Win · 52.8% → Won
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Away Win
Confidence 72/100
Strongest cover
X2
78.8% probability
Risk classification
Medium
26.0% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Šiauliai
0/15 recent form points
Banga
12/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 6/10.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Šiauliai 3-0 Banga
2025-05-18T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Banga 1-2 Šiauliai
2025-04-05T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Banga 3-1 Šiauliai
2025-01-17T11:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Banga 4-1 Šiauliai
2024-08-24T15:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Ranked probability score
0.1339 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Mon, 03 Aug 2026 13:53 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.