Shortan (WWWLL) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1 for Respublika FA (DLWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 70/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
70/100
Recent head-to-head data is unavailable on the current API tier.
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | BetVictorBest price +5.8% | 4.33 | 23.1% | 21.2% | -1.9% |
| 1xBet | 4.28 | 23.4% | 21.2% | -2.2% | |
This forecast was recorded on Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:28 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 70/100
Strongest cover
1X
78.8% probability
Risk classification
Medium
24.1% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
56 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Shortan
9/15 recent form points
Respublika FA
7/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| Marathonbet |
| 4.20 |
| 23.8% |
| 21.2% |
| -2.6% |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 25.0% | 21.2% | -3.8% |
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 25.6% | 21.2% | -4.4% |
| Betano | 3.85 | 26.0% | 21.2% | -4.8% |
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +1.6% | 3.70 | 27.0% | 24.1% | -2.9% |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 27.2% | 24.1% | -3.1% |
| 1xBet | 3.68 | 27.2% | 24.1% | -3.1% |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.1% | -3.7% |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.1% | -3.7% |
| Betano | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.1% | -3.7% |
Home 1X2 | BetanoBest price +2.7% | 1.75 | 57.1% | 54.7% | -2.4% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 57.8% | 54.7% | -3.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 58.8% | 54.7% | -4.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 58.8% | 54.7% | -4.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 54.7% | -4.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 60.2% | 54.7% | -5.5% |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +3.1% | 2.05 | 48.8% | 46.8% | -2.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.2% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 51.3% | 46.8% | -4.5% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 51.8% | 46.8% | -5.0% |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +1.4% | 1.75 | 57.1% | 53.2% | -3.9% |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 57.1% | 53.2% | -3.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.2% | -4.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 58.5% | 53.2% | -5.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 58.5% | 53.2% | -5.3% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 58.8% | 53.2% | -5.6% |
No BTTS | BetVictorBest price +1.7% | 2.05 | 48.8% | 45.8% | -3.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 49.5% | 45.8% | -3.7% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 45.8% | -4.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 50.3% | 45.8% | -4.5% |
Yes BTTS | BetfairBest price +2.4% | 1.73 | 57.8% | 54.2% | -3.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 54.2% | -5.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 54.2% | -5.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 59.9% | 54.2% | -5.7% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +2.0% | 2.00 | 50.0% | 0.0% | -50.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 50.0% | 0.0% | -50.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 50.8% | 0.0% | -50.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 50.8% | 0.0% | -50.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 51.3% | 0.0% | -51.3% |
| Betano | 1.88 | 53.2% | 0.0% | -53.2% |
Home or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +2.6% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| Betano | 1.24 | 80.6% | 0.0% | -80.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetanoBest price +3.0% | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.