Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Sileks

Shkëndija Haraçinë at home has started their season with a win, scoring 2 and conceding 1 in their only match so far. That gives them a slight edge in this matchup, and it aligns with the home-win lean shown by the probabilities. Sileks have been more established over the season, with 15 wins from 32 matches and a positive goal record overall (56 scored, 36 conceded). However, their recent form is weak, with their last five results reading L D L L L, which reduces confidence in an away win despite their season strength. The draw is also a meaningful possibility, with 25.0% implied probability, so the match outcome is not clear-cut. For goals, both teams to score is favored (56.3%), and over 2.5 goals is slightly more likely than not (52.0%), suggesting a game where scoring could happen at both ends. Overall, the home win is the most likely single result in the provided probabilities (47.3%), but the confidence is relatively low (37) and the risk is high, mainly because Sileks’ season performance is solid even though their recent form has dipped.