Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton

Sheffield Wednesday have the stronger recent output at home, with 2 wins and 1 loss across 3 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their recent form is WWL, which supports a home edge even though they have not kept a clean sheet yet. Bolton’s away sample is very small, with 1 match and a record of 0W 0D 1L. They scored 3 and conceded 4 in that game, suggesting they can find goals, but they have not shown enough consistency to clearly overturn the home advantage. The goal indicators lean toward a match with goals: over 2.5 goals is favored at 61.1%, and both teams to score is also supported at 60.7%. That aligns with Wednesday’s 6 goals in 3 home matches and Bolton’s ability to score despite conceding. With home win at 62.0% but confidenceScore at 35 and riskLevel high, the home win case looks plausible rather than secure, especially given the likelihood of both teams scoring.