SC Kriens vs FC Winterthur
2–090′Fri, Jul 31, 06:15 PMStadion Kleinfeld
Model verdict
High risk
BTTS Yes
SC Kriens (L) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.3 for FC Winterthur (D). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 49/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
49/100
Confidence
49/100
Head-to-Head
SC Kriens 0-5 FC Winterthur
2022-05-21T20:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
FC Winterthur 3-0 SC Kriens
2022-01-30T14:15:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
FC Winterthur 6-1 SC Kriens
2021-10-23T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
SC Kriens 2-3 FC Winterthur
2021-08-28T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
SC Kriens 3-0 FC Winterthur
2021-05-14T20:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
FC Winterthur 0-0 SC Kriens
2021-02-23T18:15:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Model reasoning
SC Kriens at home has scored 2 goals and conceded 3 in their only recorded match, with no clean sheets. That profile suggests they can find the net, but they are also vulnerable defensively.
FC Winterthur away has scored 2 and conceded 2 in their only recorded match, also with no clean sheets. Their draw indicates some ability to keep things tight, but the goals conceded still leave room for both teams to score.
With both sides having already produced goals in their single match samples, the both teams to score probability is 59.0%. The over 2.5 goals probability is 55.3%, which aligns with a game that may include multiple scoring moments rather than a low-scoring stalemate.
The overall match probabilities are relatively close between home win (39.2%) and away win (35.1%), with draws at 25.7%, so the BTTS angle is the more supported signal here, though the confidence is modest (49) and the risk is high.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 31 Jul 2026 18:10 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
