Sayana Haskovo vs Gigant Saedinenie

Sayana Haskovo have a slightly stronger overall record at home than Gigant Saedinenie’s away record suggests, with Sayana on 15W 7D 14L versus Gigant’s 14W 5D 17L. The goal numbers are also fairly close, with Sayana scoring 52 and conceding 48, while Gigant score 56 and concede 59, indicating both sides can find goals but Gigant concede more. In recent form, Sayana’s run is mixed with DLLWL, while Gigant’s is stronger with LWWWW. That recent contrast is a key reason the home win is only a moderate lean rather than a confident call, and it also keeps the draw and away win in play. The match profile points toward goals. Sayana’s 52 scored and 48 conceded, combined with Gigant’s 56 scored and 59 conceded, supports an expectation of over 2.5 goals (56.4%). Both teams to score is also favored (59.1%), consistent with the relatively high concession rates on both sides. So the home win lean (47.3% home vs 27.5% away, with 25.2% for a draw) is reasonable, but the high risk reflects Gigant’s strong recent streak and the closeness of the overall goal stats.